Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.004963 0.005469 0.006015 0.006651 0.007373 0.008170 0.009120
2025-09-21 0.004053 0.004732 0.005521 0.006513 0.007737 0.009214 0.011151
2025-09-28 0.003529 0.004276 0.005187 0.006393 0.007970 0.009994 0.012841
2025-10-05 0.003201 0.003996 0.005001 0.006390 0.008296 0.010875 0.014732
2025-10-12 0.002992 0.003832 0.004930 0.006506 0.008764 0.011973 0.017055
2025-10-19 0.002759 0.003608 0.004749 0.006438 0.008949 0.012670 0.018868
2025-10-26 0.002570 0.003423 0.004599 0.006390 0.009141 0.013383 0.020794
2025-11-02 0.002392 0.003238 0.004429 0.006288 0.009233 0.013935 0.022521
2025-11-09 0.002271 0.003124 0.004351 0.006313 0.009515 0.014817 0.024952
2025-11-16 0.002141 0.002985 0.004222 0.006244 0.009633 0.015429 0.026979
2025-11-23 0.002006 0.002830 0.004057 0.006100 0.009607 0.015779 0.028550
2025-11-30 0.001933 0.002764 0.004022 0.006163 0.009938 0.016805 0.031656
2025-12-07 0.001882 0.002732 0.004044 0.006333 0.010495 0.018368 0.036314
2025-12-14 0.001772 0.002599 0.003898 0.006206 0.010503 0.018879 0.038780
2025-12-21 0.001674 0.002482 0.003768 0.006094 0.010521 0.019410 0.041405
2025-12-28 0.001606 0.002408 0.003703 0.006091 0.010750 0.020406 0.045411
2026-01-04 0.001564 0.002372 0.003701 0.006200 0.011210 0.021968 0.051295
2026-01-11 0.001495 0.002289 0.003610 0.006136 0.011309 0.022737 0.055222
2026-01-18 0.001434 0.002216 0.003533 0.006091 0.011439 0.023597 0.059651
2026-01-25 0.001370 0.002134 0.003434 0.005995 0.011452 0.024176 0.063395
2026-02-01 0.001328 0.002088 0.003397 0.006018 0.011726 0.025442 0.069728
2026-02-08 0.001277 0.002022 0.003320 0.005954 0.011796 0.026198 0.074607
2026-02-15 0.001218 0.001941 0.003211 0.005818 0.011689 0.026477 0.077903